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Torreense vs Sunderland AFC prediction for 16 Oct 2026, 00:45 SGT (Europa League). Prediction-market win probability: Torreense 11%, the draw 17%, Sunderland AFC 69% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Torreense 11% · Draw 17% · Sunderland AFC 69% (updated )
Sunderland AFC is the prediction-market favourite at 69% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-08 19:15 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1744 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-08 19:15 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Torreense 11% · Draw 17% · Sunderland AFC 69%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Torreense, last 5: W D D L D. Sunderland AFC, last 5: W L W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-08 19:15 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-18 | vs Lillestroem | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Lusitânia Lourosa | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-07-26 | vs Estoril | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-05-29 | vs Casa Pia AC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-05-21 | vs Casa Pia AC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Leicester City W | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Manchester City FC | 3:5 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Alkmaar | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs AZ | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs AZ Alkmaar | 1:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Iqosnxjdk Polymarket | Sunderland AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Sunderland AFC to win | Pending |