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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp result (4:7) on 4 Oct 2026 (Japan NPB): 8 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 57% backing Tokyo Yakult Swallows to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Tokyo Yakult Swallows 4:7 Hiroshima Toyo Carp (2026-10-04). Before the result, 57% of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Tokyo Yakult Swallows to win — that call was wrong.
8 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Tokyo Yakult Swallows 4 (57%) · Hiroshima Toyo Carp 3 (43%).
Tokyo Yakult Swallows, last 5: L W L L W. Hiroshima Toyo Carp, last 5: W W L W W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins – draws – Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins): 2-0-3; latest 2026-09-15: Tokyo Yakult Swallows 4:9 Hiroshima Toyo Carp.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 20:00 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
8 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Tokyo Yakult Swallows to win 4 (57%) · Hiroshima Toyo Carp to win 3 (43%).
| 2026-10-03 | vs Chunichi Dragons | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Yomiuri Giants | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Hanshin Tigers | 0:5 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Yomiuri Giants | 0:11 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Chunichi Dragons | 5:3 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Hanshin Tigers | 6:4 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | vs Chunichi Dragons | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Yomiuri Giants | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars | 5:3 | W |
| 2026-09-15 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 4:9 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp |
| 2026-09-14 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0:3 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp |
| 2026-09-13 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 3:1 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp |
| 2026-08-30 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 5:1 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows |
| 2026-08-29 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 1:9 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Dopeactually Kalshi | Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | james.lancaster Kalshi | Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | thetopdonk Kalshi | Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | AmeirPrince Kalshi | Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | brilliant.bulldog1192 Kalshi | Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | james.lancaster Kalshi | Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | AmeirPrince Kalshi | Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Ruru7989 Kalshi | Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | boom99 Kalshi | Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | brilliant.bulldog1192 Kalshi | Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | frantic.skylark8421 Kalshi | Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | polite.wolverine9579 Kalshi | Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Unitdor Kalshi | HIR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Unitdor Kalshi | YAK +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Unitdor Kalshi | YAK -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | jittery1turtle Kalshi | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Dopeactually Kalshi | Under 7.5 | Lost |