MLB ·
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 04:00 SGT (MLB): 6 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 83% backing Milwaukee Brewers to win. Prediction-market win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 55%, San Diego Padres 45% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Milwaukee Brewers 55% · San Diego Padres 45% (updated )
Milwaukee Brewers is the prediction-market favourite at 55% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-04 22:21 UTC+8). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 5 (83%) back Milwaukee Brewers to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1688 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 22:21 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Milwaukee Brewers 55% · San Diego Padres 45%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
6 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Milwaukee Brewers 5 (83%) · San Diego Padres 1 (17%).
Milwaukee Brewers, last 5: W W W W W. San Diego Padres, last 5: L W W W W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Milwaukee Brewers wins – draws – San Diego Padres wins): 2-0-3; latest 2026-10-04: Milwaukee Brewers 3-2 San Diego Padres.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 22:21 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
6 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Milwaukee Brewers to win 5 (83%) · San Diego Padres to win 1 (17%).
| 2026-10-04 | vs San Diego Padres | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs St. Louis Cardinals | 6-4 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs St. Louis Cardinals | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs St. Louis Cardinals | 8-4 | W |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Philadelphia Phillies | 5-1 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Milwaukee Brewers | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Chicago Cubs | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | vs Chicago Cubs | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Chicago Cubs | 8-0 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 9-4 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3-2 | San Diego Padres |
| 2026-08-13 | San Diego Padres | 11-2 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres | 11-2 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| 2026-08-11 | San Diego Padres | 3-2 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| 2026-05-15 | Milwaukee Brewers | 7-1 | San Diego Padres |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | cuna Kalshi | Milwaukee wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | GroovyJ Kalshi | San Diego wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | 30jr30 Kalshi | Milwaukee wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | kicker31 Kalshi | Milwaukee wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | kicker31 Kalshi | San Diego wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | clis41 Kalshi | San Diego wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | negative.collie2897 Kalshi | Milwaukee wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | danterb99 Kalshi | Milwaukee wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | dennisdmenace Kalshi | Milwaukee wins | Pending |