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FC Twente vs FC Thun prediction for 16 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (Conference League). Prediction-market win probability: FC Twente 79%, the draw 12%, FC Thun 7% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: FC Twente 79% · Draw 12% · FC Thun 7% (updated )
FC Twente is the prediction-market favourite at 79% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-15 06:15 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 85% of 1605 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-15 06:15 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: FC Twente 79% · Draw 12% · FC Thun 7%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
FC Twente, last 5: D W W W W. FC Thun, last 5: L W L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-15 06:15 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-11 | vs Fortuna Sittard | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PSV | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PSV Eindhoven | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs ADO Den Haag | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Telstar 1963 | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs FC Zurich | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs FC Vaduz | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Servette Geneva | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Grasshopper Club Zürich | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs FC Sion | 2:3 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | doador Polymarket | FC Twente to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | clb-q Polymarket | FC Thun to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Twente to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | FC Twente to win | Pending |