Nations League ·
Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction for 14 Nov 2026, 01:00 SGT (Nations League): 15 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 43% backing Moldova to win. Prediction-market win probability: Moldova 36%, the draw 31%, Kazakhstan 31% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Moldova 36% · Draw 31% · Kazakhstan 31% (updated )
Moldova is the prediction-market favourite at 36% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-13 20:25 UTC+8). Of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (43%) back Moldova to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1968 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-13 20:25 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Moldova 36% · Draw 31% · Kazakhstan 31%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
15 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Moldova 3 (43%) · Draw 2 (29%) · Kazakhstan 2 (29%).
Moldova, last 5: L W D L D. Kazakhstan, last 5: D L L D L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-13 21:25 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
15 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Moldova to win 3 (43%) · the draw 2 (29%) · Kazakhstan to win 2 (29%).
| 2026-10-07 | vs Slovakia | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Kazakhstan | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Faroe Islands | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Slovakia | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-06-09 | vs Armenia | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Faroe Islands | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Moldova | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Slovakia | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Faroe Islands | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-06-10 | vs Hungary | 1:3 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | ZLYU Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | rev28 Polymarket | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | SuperPro333 Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | foxy4 Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | 0x7e06…362c Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Soggy-Tank Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Luminous-Addiction Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | ggaas Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Scornful-Lieu Polymarket | Moldova to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | suntori Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | seaor Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Burgil Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Incomplete-Adoption-Icy Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | instant.meerkat7632 Kalshi | Moldova wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | testyeagles Polymarket | exact score 2 - 1 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | testyeagles Polymarket | exact score 2 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | existing.chipmunk Kalshi | Moldova wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Drexxor Polymarket | Moldova vs Kazakhstan O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Moldova to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | CAcap Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | testyeagles Polymarket | exact score 2 - 2 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | testyeagles Polymarket | exact score 0 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | testyeagles Polymarket | exact score 2 - 2 | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Cachetinho Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | 0xf095…08ec Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | TheGoodGuy1 Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | clb-q Polymarket | Moldova to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Cachetinho Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Moldova to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | ilovemonkeyhead Polymarket | Moldova to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | elwaki Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | manvsrice42 Polymarket | Moldova to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | jag26969 Polymarket | Moldova to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | TheOnlyDude Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |