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Liga de Expansion MX ·
Tapatio vs Club Atletico La Paz prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 07:00 SGT (Liga de Expansion MX): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 67% backing Club Atletico La Paz to win. Prediction-market win probability: Tapatio 32%, the draw 26%, Club Atletico La Paz 42% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Tapatio 32% · Draw 26% · Club Atletico La Paz 42% (updated )
Club Atletico La Paz is the prediction-market favourite at 42% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-09 23:38 UTC+8). Of 3 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 2 (67%) back Club Atletico La Paz to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1566 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 23:38 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Tapatio 32% · Draw 26% · Club Atletico La Paz 42%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
3 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Tapatio 1 (33%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Club Atletico La Paz 2 (67%).
Tapatio, last 5: L W L L D. Club Atletico La Paz, last 5: L W W D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 23:38 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Tapatio to win 1 (33%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Club Atletico La Paz to win 2 (67%).
| 2026-10-04 | vs Cancun FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Tlaxcala | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Dorados | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Leones Negros | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Oaxaca | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Venados | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Oaxaca | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Correcaminos | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Leones Negros | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Zacatecas | 3:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | doador Polymarket | CD Tapatio to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | doador Polymarket | Club Atletico La Paz to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Imperturbable-Reminder Polymarket | CD Tapatio to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | Imperturbable-Reminder Polymarket | Club Atletico La Paz to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | CD Tapatio to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Club Atletico La Paz to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | benjammin29 Kalshi | TAP -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Club Atletico La Paz wins | Pending |