MLB ·
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction for 8 Oct 2026, 08:00 SGT (MLB): 57 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 70% backing New York Yankees to win. Prediction-market win probability: New York Yankees 60%, Tampa Bay Rays 40% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: New York Yankees 60% · Tampa Bay Rays 40% (updated )
New York Yankees is the prediction-market favourite at 60% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-08 06:42 UTC+8). Of 47 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 33 (70%) back New York Yankees to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1734 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-08 06:42 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: New York Yankees 60% · Tampa Bay Rays 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
57 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: New York Yankees 33 (70%) · Tampa Bay Rays 14 (30%).
New York Yankees, last 5: L L W W W. Tampa Bay Rays, last 5: W W L W W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (New York Yankees wins – draws – Tampa Bay Rays wins): 2-0-3; latest 2026-10-06: Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-08 06:42 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
57 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: New York Yankees to win 33 (70%) · Tampa Bay Rays to win 14 (30%).
| 2026-10-06 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 2:5 | L |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-01 | vs Boston Red Sox | 9:2 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Boston Red Sox | 9:0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Baltimore Orioles | 6:3 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs New York Yankees | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | vs New York Yankees | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Philadelphia Phillies | 3:7 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Philadelphia Phillies | 12:1 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Philadelphia Phillies | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5:2 | New York Yankees |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Rays | 1:0 | New York Yankees |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees | 6:4 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Yankees | 9:2 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Yankees | 1:6 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | solid.redpoll3423 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Jdub1of1 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Casquillo77 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dogbpu Kalshi | Over 6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | urban.cricket Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | wangdang727 Kalshi | NYY -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | negative.collie2897 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | fregon107 Kalshi | Under 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | MiaTorres1989 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | convenient.crab5798 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | jdigae Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | santajamz Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | fregon107 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | DrGuap Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | exciting.wolf4775 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Tpgpicks Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | deep.deckAngelgarcia Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | GivensJMG Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | greg.cool2345 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | class Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | truth43 Kalshi | NYY -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | Over 7.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | johnnygotspicks Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | complicated.cormorant6749 Kalshi | NYY -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | launch.spray Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | jayvlock19 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | ImApeX Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | cuna Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | gilmaje77 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | bradybands Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | rfv527 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | xavierothon41 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | jk1m Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | hypekid Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | standrews.roadhole Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dmparker Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | 11111111111111111111111111111111 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | livedonasandbar Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | duckyx999 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | bobby.bottles07 Kalshi | Under 7.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | LoLew Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | twentytwoclicks Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | room.sale Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Jsaff Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | hip.wolf Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | paid9 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | love.islander Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | tmacate4 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | acceptable.termite8960 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | delucaplays Kalshi | NYY -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | row.norm Kalshi | TB +1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | pena4545 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Michael.Russo Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | world.steel Kalshi | Under 7.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | due.hummingbird7577 Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | kicker31 Kalshi | Over 9.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | lydia0507 Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | howardk Kalshi | New York Y wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | JacksonT0dd Kalshi | Tampa Bay wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | row.norm Kalshi | Over 5.5 | Pending |