CONCACAF Nations League ·
Guatemala vs Suriname prediction for 6 Oct 2026, 08:00 SGT (CONCACAF Nations League): 18 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 71% backing Guatemala to win. Prediction-market win probability: Guatemala 49%, the draw 26%, Suriname 27% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Guatemala 49% · Draw 26% · Suriname 27% (updated )
Guatemala is the prediction-market favourite at 49% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-06 03:46 UTC+8). Of 14 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 10 (71%) back Guatemala to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1796 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-06 03:46 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Guatemala 49% · Draw 26% · Suriname 27%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
18 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Guatemala 10 (71%) · Draw 2 (14%) · Suriname 2 (14%).
Guatemala, last 4: D W L L. Suriname, last 3: D W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-06 03:46 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
18 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Guatemala to win 10 (71%) · the draw 2 (14%) · Suriname to win 2 (14%).
| 2026-10-03 | vs Suriname | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs El Salvador | 6-0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Jamaica | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-06-05 | vs Czechia | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Guatemala | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Martinique | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Honduras | 3-2 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | us391 Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | steep.starfish6806 Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | AnswerJJMoreMoney Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | independent.horse2155 Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | emacron Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | emacron Polymarket | Suriname to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | wangwangjun Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | solid.redpoll3423 Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | instant.meerkat7632 Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | cristhian.fonseca1996 Kalshi | Suriname wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Suriname to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | benjammin29 Kalshi | GTM -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | .bao Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | scornful.prawn7047 Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | kabina- Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Suriname to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | symbolic.marten8867 Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | RobertLee443 Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Murky-Fallingout Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Dansal Polymarket | Suriname to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | ulos Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | doador Polymarket | Suriname to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Guatemala to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | wrong.half Kalshi | Guatemala wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | managerial.dingo2910 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |