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Olympique de Marseille vs Olympiakós SFP prediction for 16 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (Europa League). Prediction-market win probability: Olympique de Marseille 45%, the draw 27%, Olympiakós SFP 31% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Olympique de Marseille 45% · Draw 27% · Olympiakós SFP 31% (updated )
Olympique de Marseille is the prediction-market favourite at 45% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-10 23:18 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1618 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-10 23:18 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Olympique de Marseille 45% · Draw 27% · Olympiakós SFP 31%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Olympique de Marseille, last 4: L L L L. Olympiakós SFP, last 3: W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-10 23:18 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-21 | vs Paris Saint Germain | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Besiktas | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-08-31 | vs AS Monaco FC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Jagiellonia Białystok | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Volos NPS | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-03 | vs AE Lárisas 1964 | 4:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Olympique de Marseille to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Rapid-Journey-Rite Polymarket | Olympiakós SFP to win | Pending |