Bundesliga ·
Union Berlin vs Dortmund prediction for 17 Oct 2026, 21:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Union Berlin 21%, the draw 21%, Dortmund 60% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Union Berlin 21% · Draw 21% · Dortmund 60% (updated )
Dortmund is the prediction-market favourite at 60% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-08 13:14 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1742 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-08 13:14 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Union Berlin 21% · Draw 21% · Dortmund 60%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Union Berlin, last 5: W L L L L. Dortmund, last 5: W W W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-08 13:14 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-09-27 | vs HNK Rijeka | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Bayern Munich | 0:7 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Schalke | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs FC Schalke 04 | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Leverkusen | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs VfB Stuttgart | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Paderborn | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Villarreal CF | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Hoffenheim | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-02 | vs HEBC Hamburg | 5:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Flaznorp Polymarket | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Pending |