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Bundesliga ·
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 12 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Bayern Munich 80%, the draw 11%, Leipzig 8% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Bayern Munich 80% · Draw 11% · Leipzig 8% (updated )
Bayern Munich is the prediction-market favourite at 80% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-17 11:18 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 85% of 1589 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-17 11:18 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Bayern Munich 80% · Draw 11% · Leipzig 8%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Bayern Munich, last 5: D D W W W. Leipzig, last 5: W W W L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-17 11:18 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
12 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-14 | vs Viking FK | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs FC Augsburg | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Union Berlin | 7:0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Elversberg | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-11 | vs Bodo/Glimt | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs SC Freiburg | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Eindhoven | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Frankfurt | 6:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Leverkusen | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Hamburg | 5:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | BMU -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | Bayern Munich wins 1st Half | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | asajon77 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | nigiri99 Polymarket | RB Leipzig to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Over 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Leipzig wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Saber-greed Polymarket | RB Leipzig to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Defichess Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | 0xc6fd…53df Polymarket | RB Leipzig to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | leflaive Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | RB Leipzig to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Lonely-Prince Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Lonely-Prince Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-16 | ameisgoat11 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | jomag Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | AGCS Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | AGCS Polymarket | RB Leipzig to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | Bayern Munich wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | horrocrux Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | 0x79f5…79c7 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Rapid-Journey-Rite Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | manuel9009 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |