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Croatia W vs Iceland W prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 00:45 SGT (FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women). Prediction-market win probability: Croatia W 5%, the draw 9%, Iceland W 88% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Croatia W 5% · Draw 9% · Iceland W 88% (updated )
Iceland W is the prediction-market favourite at 88% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 00:52 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 66% of 1303 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 00:52 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Croatia W 5% · Draw 9% · Iceland W 88%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 00:52 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | chaeri Polymarket | Iceland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | chaeri Polymarket | Croatia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | chaeri Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | 02041992 Polymarket | Croatia to win | Pending |