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Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 SGT (EFL Championship): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Derby County FC 33%, the draw 29%, Wrexham AFC 40% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Derby County FC 33% · Draw 29% · Wrexham AFC 40% (updated )
Wrexham AFC is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 23:18 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1566 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 23:18 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Derby County FC 33% · Draw 29% · Wrexham AFC 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Derby County FC, last 5: D L L L W. Wrexham AFC, last 5: W L D D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 23:18 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-09-19 | vs Burnley | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Birmingham City FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-10 | vs West Bromwich Albion FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs West Ham United FC | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-02 | vs Portsmouth FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Southampton FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs West Ham United FC | 0:6 | L |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Burnley | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Swansea City AFC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Millwall FC | 3:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | UNEB3154s4f251 Polymarket | Wrexham AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | UNEB3154s4f251 Polymarket | Wrexham AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | UNEB3154s4f251 Polymarket | Wrexham AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | UNEB3154s4f251 Polymarket | Wrexham AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | UNEB3154s4f251 Polymarket | Wrexham AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Wrexham AFC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | piepi Polymarket | Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-09-28 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Wrexham AFC to win | Pending |