Liga MX ·
Tigres de la UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 SGT (Liga MX). Prediction-market win probability: Tigres de la UANL 33%, the draw 28%, Deportivo Toluca FC 42% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Tigres de la UANL 33% · Draw 28% · Deportivo Toluca FC 42% (updated )
Deportivo Toluca FC is the prediction-market favourite at 42% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-04 10:47 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1982 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 10:47 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Tigres de la UANL 33% · Draw 28% · Deportivo Toluca FC 42%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Tigres de la UANL, last 5: W L D D D. Deportivo Toluca FC, last 5: D L W W W. Head-to-head, last 3 meetings (Tigres de la UANL wins – draws – Deportivo Toluca FC wins): 1-1-1; latest 2026-01-18: Tigres de la UANL 0-0 Deportivo Toluca FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 10:47 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-27 | vs Club Puebla | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs FC Juárez | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CF Monterrey | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Club Necaxa | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Club Santos Laguna | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CF Cruz Azul | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Club Santos Laguna | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Club Puebla | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Atlas FC | 5-2 | W |
| 2026-09-07 | vs CF Monterrey | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-01-18 | Tigres de la UANL | 0-0 | Deportivo Toluca FC |
| 2025-12-15 | Deportivo Toluca FC | 2-1 | Tigres de la UANL |
| 2025-12-12 | Tigres de la UANL | 1-0 | Deportivo Toluca FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | voi.bet Polymarket | Deportivo Toluca FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | WatchTheTape Polymarket | Tigres de la UANL to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Querulous-Metabolite Polymarket | Deportivo Toluca FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | Gaditima Polymarket | Tigres de la UANL to win | Pending |