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Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 SGT (Besta deild karla). Prediction-market win probability: Thor Akureyri 34%, the draw 26%, IBV Vestmannaeyjar 43% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Thor Akureyri 34% · Draw 26% · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 43% (updated )
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is the prediction-market favourite at 43% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 08:47 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1560 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 08:47 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Thor Akureyri 34% · Draw 26% · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 43%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Thor Akureyri, last 5: L L W W L. IBV Vestmannaeyjar, last 5: D L D L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 08:47 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-20 | vs KA Akureyri | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Valur Reykjavik | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs FH Hafnarfjordur | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-08-24 | vs Stjarnan Gardabae | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Valur Reykjavik | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Stjarnan Gardabae | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Stjarnan Gardabae | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Thor Akureyri | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-08-24 | vs Keflavik IF | 0:1 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | tobako Polymarket | IBV Vestmannaeyjar to win | Pending |