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Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Athinon prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 00:30 SGT (Greece Super League). Prediction-market win probability: Asteras Tripolis 40%, the draw 32%, Atromitos Athinon 29% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Asteras Tripolis 40% · Draw 32% · Atromitos Athinon 29% (updated )
Asteras Tripolis is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-10 23:27 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1618 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-10 23:27 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Asteras Tripolis 40% · Draw 32% · Atromitos Athinon 29%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Asteras Tripolis, last 5: D W D D L. Atromitos Athinon, last 5: L L D D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-10 23:27 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-20 | vs OFI Crete | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Niki Volou | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs AEK Athens | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Aris Thessaloniki | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-07 | vs POT Iraklis | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs AE Kifisia FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs PAOK | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs POT Iraklis | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Kalamata | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Panserraikos | 1:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | sarkozin73 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | doador Polymarket | Asteras Tripolis to win | Pending |