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South Melbourne FC vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction – 10 Oct 2026, 16:35

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Australia Cup ·

South Melbourne FC vs Melbourne Victory FC prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 16:35 SGT (Australia Cup): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: South Melbourne FC 22%, the draw 25%, Melbourne Victory FC 55% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.

Latest Polymarket chances: South Melbourne FC 22% · Draw 25% · Melbourne Victory FC 55% (updated )

Quick answers

South Melbourne FC vs Melbourne Victory FC prediction: who will win?

Melbourne Victory FC is the prediction-market favourite at 55% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-08 21:55 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1616 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.

What are the win chances for South Melbourne FC vs Melbourne Victory FC?

As of 2026-10-08 21:55 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: South Melbourne FC 22% · Draw 25% · Melbourne Victory FC 55%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.

South Melbourne FC vs Melbourne Victory FC: recent form and head-to-head?

South Melbourne FC, last 4: W W D W. Melbourne Victory FC, last 5: W D W L W.

Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-08 21:55 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology

What profitable pros picked

4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.

Recent form

South Melbourne FC

2026-09-15vs Lions FC3:1W
2026-08-26vs Preston Lions FC2:1W
2026-08-09vs Fremantle City FC3:3D
2026-07-30vs Adelaide United FC2:1W

Melbourne Victory FC

2026-09-09vs Sydney FC2:0W
2026-08-19vs APIA Leichhardt FC0:0D
2026-07-26vs Kingborough Lions United FC4:0W
2026-05-02vs Sydney FC0:1L
2026-04-25vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC2:0W

5 pros predicted

DateMatchPickResult
2026-10-08LeLynxMalynx
Polymarket
South Melbourne FC to winPending
2026-10-08bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb
Polymarket
Melbourne Victory FC to winPending
2026-10-08Flaznorp
Polymarket
Melbourne Victory FC to winPending
2026-10-08doador
Polymarket
Melbourne Victory FC to winPending
2026-10-08doador
Polymarket
South Melbourne FC to winPending
2026-10-04wqeewqeadawfawfwa
Polymarket
Melbourne Victory FC to winPending
See the full record on Tips

Teams

Melbourne Victory FC

League

Australia Cup

See the full data on Tips