Ligue 1 ·
AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 02:45 SGT (Ligue 1): 8 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 80% backing AS Monaco FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: AS Monaco FC 62%, the draw 22%, Toulouse FC 18% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: AS Monaco FC 62% · Draw 22% · Toulouse FC 18% (updated )
AS Monaco FC is the prediction-market favourite at 62% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-08 08:03 UTC+8). Of 5 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 4 (80%) back AS Monaco FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1734 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-08 08:03 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: AS Monaco FC 62% · Draw 22% · Toulouse FC 18%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
8 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AS Monaco FC 4 (80%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Toulouse FC 1 (20%).
AS Monaco FC, last 5: W D W W W. Toulouse FC, last 5: W D L D L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (AS Monaco FC wins – draws – Toulouse FC wins): 1-1-0; latest 2026-04-26: Toulouse FC 2:2 AS Monaco FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-08 08:03 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
8 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AS Monaco FC to win 4 (80%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Toulouse FC to win 1 (20%).
| 2026-09-19 | vs Racing Club de Lens | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs RC Strasbourg Alsace | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | vs Olympique de Marseille | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-08-27 | vs Górnik Zabrze | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Le Havre AC | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs FC Lorient | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-04 | vs Lille OSC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Stade Brestois 29 | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Olympique Lyonnais | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-04-26 | Toulouse FC | 2:2 | AS Monaco FC |
| 2025-10-26 | AS Monaco FC | 1:0 | Toulouse FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Oddstorm Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Fat-Antigen Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Toulouse FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | andersonadn10 Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Oddstorm Polymarket | Toulouse FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | piepi Polymarket | AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | roverpredicts Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | JohannaDoe Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | JohannaDoe Polymarket | AS Monaco FC to win | Pending |