LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026 · MLB Postseason
Premier League ·
Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 19:30 SGT (Premier League): 36 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 72% backing Arsenal FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: Arsenal FC 71%, the draw 19%, Leeds United FC 11% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Arsenal FC 71% · Draw 19% · Leeds United FC 11% (updated )
Arsenal FC is the prediction-market favourite at 71% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 16:49 UTC+8). Of 25 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 18 (72%) back Arsenal FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1796 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 16:49 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Arsenal FC 71% · Draw 19% · Leeds United FC 11%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
36 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Arsenal FC 18 (72%) · Draw 3 (12%) · Leeds United FC 4 (16%).
Arsenal FC, last 5: L W W W W. Leeds United FC, last 5: D W L D D. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Arsenal FC wins – draws – Leeds United FC wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-01-31: Leeds United FC 0:4 Arsenal FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 16:49 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
36 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Arsenal FC to win 18 (72%) · the draw 3 (12%) · Leeds United FC to win 4 (16%).
| 2026-09-19 | vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Ipswich Town FC | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Sunderland AFC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SSC Napoli | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Chelsea FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Crystal Palace FC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Newcastle United FC | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Chelsea FC | 3:6 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Brentford FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-01-31 | Leeds United FC | 0:4 | Arsenal FC |
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal FC | 5:0 | Leeds United FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | flat Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | jorgeadrian Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | whyboy007 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | MarlaSinger1999 Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | sleek.crow Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | basquetipster Kalshi | Arsenal: 7+ corners | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Arsenal FC -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Arsenal FC -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | luckyjackmac Kalshi | ARS -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Halftime · Leeds United FC leading | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | still.bit Kalshi | Final score Draw 1-1 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | whyboy007 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Mediocre-Noir Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | MarlaSinger1999 Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | smk96 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Nivlek28mrt Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | jorgeadrian Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | hkin Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | maraya Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | dv-pm Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | jomag Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | ColdMath Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | pizdi.bolyu Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | jomag Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Revolving-Passbook Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | kintg Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Oddstorm Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Abdihakeem Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Buell62 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | 0x863d…4df7 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | suntori Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | EF717 Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dv-pm Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Inborn-Wagon Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | ManlikeJC Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Strident-Subtitle Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | unfair.mackerel0621 Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | dv-pm Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | tobako Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Splendid-Complexity Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | K1KE Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | youcanbuythisbot Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Tender-Sombrero Polymarket | Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | L.kuns Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Oddstorm Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | glass.boot Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Viacheslav92 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | pahan2001 Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Arsenal FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | youcanbuythisbot Polymarket | Leeds United FC to win | Pending |