LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026 · MLB Postseason
La Liga ·
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 SGT (La Liga): 5 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 40% backing Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win. Prediction-market win probability: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 36%, the draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao 37% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 36% · Draw 29% · Athletic Bilbao 37% (updated )
The prediction market sees this as close: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 36% · Draw 29% · Athletic Bilbao 37% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-08 18:45 UTC+8). Of 5 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 2 (40%) back Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-08 18:45 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 36% · Draw 29% · Athletic Bilbao 37%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
5 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 (40%) · Draw 2 (40%) · Athletic Bilbao 1 (20%).
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, last 5: D W L W L. Athletic Bilbao, last 5: D D D W W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins – draws – Athletic Bilbao wins): 0-1-1; latest 2026-02-28: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1:1 Athletic Bilbao.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-08 18:45 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
5 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win 2 (40%) · the draw 2 (40%) · Athletic Bilbao to win 1 (20%).
| 2026-09-19 | vs CA Osasuna | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-16 | vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Real Madrid | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Real Racing Club | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-01 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:5 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Deportivo Alavés | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Levante UD | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Elche CF | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | vs RC Celta de Vigo | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-02-28 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 1:1 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2025-08-26 | Athletic Bilbao | 1:0 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | scherahmeda Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | andersonadn10 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | 0xc6fd…53df Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | kabina- Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | IAmDoom Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | 750S Polymarket | draw | Pending |