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Bundesliga ·
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 21:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 6 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 69%, the draw 19%, Hamburger SV 14% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 69% · Draw 19% · Hamburger SV 14% (updated )
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is the prediction-market favourite at 69% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 23:38 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1806 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 23:38 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 69% · Draw 19% · Hamburger SV 14%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, last 5: L L W L L. Hamburger SV, last 5: W L L L W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim wins – draws – Hamburger SV wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-04-25: Hamburger SV 1:2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 23:38 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
6 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-09-21 | vs SC Paderborn 07 | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs OFI | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs VfB Stuttgart | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs 1. FC Köln | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs 1. FC Köln | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs RB Leipzig | 0:5 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0:5 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-08-24 | vs SC Verl | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-04-25 | Hamburger SV | 1:2 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2025-12-13 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4:1 | Hamburger SV |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | baggins178 Polymarket | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | leflaive Polymarket | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | jorgeadrian Polymarket | Hamburger SV to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Rapid-Journey-Rite Polymarket | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Hoffenheim wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Oddstorm Polymarket | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | 0xc6fd…53df Polymarket | Hamburger SV to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | Timi199 Polymarket | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | Flaznorp Polymarket | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Pending |