Bundesliga ·
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 21:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 10 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 57% backing FC Bayern München to win. Prediction-market win probability: FC Augsburg 9%, the draw 11%, FC Bayern München 82% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: FC Augsburg 9% · Draw 11% · FC Bayern München 82% (updated )
FC Bayern München is the prediction-market favourite at 82% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-05 13:23 UTC+8). Of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 4 (57%) back FC Bayern München to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 66% of 1217 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-05 13:23 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: FC Augsburg 9% · Draw 11% · FC Bayern München 82%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
10 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Augsburg 3 (43%) · Draw 0 (0%) · FC Bayern München 4 (57%).
FC Augsburg, last 5: L D W W W. FC Bayern München, last 5: W W W D W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (FC Augsburg wins – draws – FC Bayern München wins): 1-0-1; latest 2026-01-24: FC Bayern München 1-2 FC Augsburg.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-05 13:23 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
10 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: FC Augsburg to win 3 (43%) · the draw 0 (0%) · FC Bayern München to win 4 (57%).
| 2026-09-19 | vs SV Werder Bremen | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs FC Schalke 04 | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-08-22 | vs FC Energie Cottbus | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 7-0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs SV 07 Elversberg | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-11 | vs FK Bodø/Glimt | 5-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs FC Schalke 04 | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-03 | vs VfL Osnabrück | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-01-24 | FC Bayern München | 1-2 | FC Augsburg |
| 2025-08-30 | FC Augsburg | 2-3 | FC Bayern München |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | TENETINO Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | reppp Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | UNEB3154s4f251 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Oddstorm Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | NNNNNobita Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | CoffeeDespiser Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | sreca Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | vincentvega92 Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | Splendid-Complexity Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-29 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-28 | 750S Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-28 | Well-Made-Birch-Allergist Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-28 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | youcanbuythisbot Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | oxwiner Polymarket | FC Augsburg to win | Pending |