LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026 · MLB Postseason
Bundesliga ·
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 21:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 9 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win. Prediction-market win probability: 1. FSV Mainz 05 32%, the draw 25%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 44% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: 1. FSV Mainz 05 32% · Draw 25% · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 44% (updated )
Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the prediction-market favourite at 44% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-10 07:15 UTC+8). Of 5 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 5 (100%) back Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1581 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-10 07:15 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: 1. FSV Mainz 05 32% · Draw 25% · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 44%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
9 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 (0%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 (100%).
1. FSV Mainz 05, last 5: W L W D W. Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 5: W W D W L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (1. FSV Mainz 05 wins – draws – Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins): 0-1-1; latest 2026-02-28: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:1 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-10 07:15 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
9 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 0 (0%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 5 (100%).
| 2026-09-19 | vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Hamburger SV | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs SC Paderborn 07 | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-08-23 | vs VfB Krieschow 1921 | 9:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs RB Leipzig | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs NK Celje | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs FC Augsburg | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs SV 07 Elversberg | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-02-28 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1:1 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2025-10-18 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 3:4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | injured.salamander5322 Kalshi | 1H Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | JumaJumajej Polymarket | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | JumaJumajej Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Leverkusen wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | LeoTheKing Polymarket | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | hamster0601 Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Rapid-Journey-Rite Polymarket | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | 0xc6fd…53df Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | thatsabing0 Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-29 | Kinda12 Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |