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Luminosity vs Astralis Prediction – 4 Oct 2026, 20:00

CS2 ·

Luminosity vs Astralis prediction for 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 SGT (CS2). Prediction-market win probability: Luminosity 39%, Astralis 61% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.

Latest Kalshi chances: Luminosity 39% · Astralis 61% (updated )

Quick answers

Luminosity vs Astralis prediction: who will win?

Astralis is the prediction-market favourite at 61% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 62% of 1317 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.

What are the win chances for Luminosity vs Astralis?

As of 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Luminosity 39% · Astralis 61%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.

Luminosity vs Astralis: recent form and head-to-head?

Luminosity, last 5: L W W L W. Astralis, last 5: W W W L L.

Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology

Recent form

Luminosity

2026-10-03vs Nemiga0-2L
2026-10-02vs BIG2-1W
2026-10-01vs B82-0W
2026-09-23vs 3DMAX2-3L
2026-09-22vs B82-0W

Astralis

2026-10-04vs fnatic2-0W
2026-10-03vs BIG2-1W
2026-10-02vs FaZe2-1W
2026-10-01vs Alliance1-2L
2026-09-26vs 100 Thieves1-2L

2 pros predicted

DateMatchPickResult
2026-10-04Stickman22
Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsPending
2026-10-04bomb88oclaat
Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsPending
2026-10-04bomb88oclaat
Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsPending
2026-10-04bomb88oclaat
Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsPending
2026-10-04bomb88oclaat
Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsPending
2026-10-04bomb88oclaat
Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsPending
2026-10-04Stickman22
Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsPending
2026-10-04Stickman22
Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsPending
See the full record on Tips
Data on this page comes from public trades and positions on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. This site only displays data and does not offer betting or trading of any kind.

Teams

LuminosityAstralis

League

CS2

Most accurate pros

bomb88oclaatStickman22

See the full data on Tips