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FC Lugano vs FC Luzern prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 SGT (Swiss Super League). Prediction-market win probability: FC Lugano 61%, the draw 21%, FC Luzern 20% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: FC Lugano 61% · Draw 21% · FC Luzern 20% (updated )
FC Lugano is the prediction-market favourite at 61% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 17:01 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1796 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 17:01 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: FC Lugano 61% · Draw 21% · FC Luzern 20%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
FC Lugano, last 5: W W D W W. FC Luzern, last 5: W L D W D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 17:01 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-20 | vs Lausanne-Sport | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs FC St. Gallen 1879 | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Young Boys Bern | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs FC Basel 1893 | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | vs Servette Geneva | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Grasshopper Club Zurich | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs FC Basel 1893 | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Young Boys Bern | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-09-03 | vs FC Vaduz | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Servette Geneva | 1:1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | doador Polymarket | FC Lugano to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | oxwiner Polymarket | FC Lugano to win | Pending |