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Paksi FC vs MTK Budapest prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 01:30 SGT (NB I). Prediction-market win probability: Paksi FC 44%, the draw 24%, MTK Budapest 35% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Paksi FC 44% · Draw 24% · MTK Budapest 35% (updated )
Paksi FC is the prediction-market favourite at 44% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 04:07 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1571 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 04:07 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Paksi FC 44% · Draw 24% · MTK Budapest 35%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Paksi FC, last 4: W L D W. MTK Budapest, last 4: L L D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 04:07 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-19 | vs Kisvarda FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Debreceni VSC | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-08-21 | vs Ujpest FC Budapest | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs WKW ETO FC Gyor | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Kisvarda FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Debreceni VSC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC | 2:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | tobako Polymarket | Paksi FC to win | Pending |