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Osasuna vs Santander prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 SGT (La Liga). Prediction-market win probability: Osasuna 48%, the draw 26%, Santander 26% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Osasuna 48% · Draw 26% · Santander 26% (updated )
Osasuna is the prediction-market favourite at 48% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-15 10:16 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1522 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-15 10:16 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Osasuna 48% · Draw 26% · Santander 26%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Osasuna, last 5: L D D L L. Santander, last 5: D L L W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-15 10:16 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-11 | vs Real Betis | 2:5 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Vallecano | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Rayo Vallecano | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Atletico | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Espanyol | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | vs Valencia | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Celta Vigo | 0:5 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:7 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Alaves | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Vallecano | 2:3 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Osasuna wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | Osasuna wins | Pending |