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Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC prediction for 19 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (La Liga): 11 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 75% backing Real Madrid to win. Prediction-market win probability: Real Madrid 77%, the draw 14%, Sevilla FC 8% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Real Madrid 77% · Draw 14% · Sevilla FC 8% (updated )
Real Madrid is the prediction-market favourite at 77% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-15 10:46 UTC+8). Of 8 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 6 (75%) back Real Madrid to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 85% of 1543 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-15 10:46 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Real Madrid 77% · Draw 14% · Sevilla FC 8%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
11 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Real Madrid 6 (75%) · Draw 1 (13%) · Sevilla FC 1 (13%).
Real Madrid, last 5: W W L L W. Sevilla FC, last 5: D L L W W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Real Madrid wins – draws – Sevilla FC wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-05-18: Sevilla FC 0:1 Real Madrid.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-15 10:46 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
11 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Real Madrid to win 6 (75%) · the draw 1 (13%) · Sevilla FC to win 1 (13%).
| 2026-10-15 | vs AS Roma | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Villarreal CF | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Atletico | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Elche CF | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Levante UD | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Aston Villa | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs FC Barcelona | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Deportivo De La Coruna | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs RC Deportivo A Coruña | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-05-18 | Sevilla FC | 0:1 | Real Madrid |
| 2025-12-21 | Real Madrid | 2:0 | Sevilla FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | nigiri99 Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | jjsc Kalshi | Sevilla wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Sevilla FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | dv-pm Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Sevilla FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | dv-pm Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Sevilla FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Sevilla FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | unfair.mackerel0621 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | nigiri99 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | nigiri99 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | Filthy-Pantologist Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | TicketToManly Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Rapid-Journey-Rite Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Grumpy-Oven Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | dsadsawq Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | manuel9009 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |