LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026 · MLB Postseason
Peru Liga 1 ·
AD Tarma vs FC Cajamarca prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 02:00 SGT (Peru Liga 1). Prediction-market win probability: AD Tarma 58%, the draw 26%, FC Cajamarca 21% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: AD Tarma 58% · Draw 26% · FC Cajamarca 21% (updated )
AD Tarma is the prediction-market favourite at 58% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 04:11 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1617 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 04:11 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: AD Tarma 58% · Draw 26% · FC Cajamarca 21%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
AD Tarma, last 5: W L L L L. FC Cajamarca, last 5: L W L W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 04:11 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-24 | vs CS Cienciano | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Club Alianza Lima | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-07 | vs FBC Melgar | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-08-31 | vs CS Huancayo | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | vs ADC Juan Pablo II College | 1:5 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Cusco FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs CD Los Chankas | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs CS Cienciano | 2:5 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs CD Comerciantes Unidos | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-08-22 | vs CA Grau | 1:3 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Gaditima Polymarket | FC Cajamarca to win | Pending |