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Slovenian Prva Liga ·
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura Murska Sobota prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 02:15 SGT (Slovenian Prva Liga). Prediction-market win probability: Olimpija Ljubljana 58%, the draw 26%, Mura Murska Sobota 18% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Olimpija Ljubljana 58% · Draw 26% · Mura Murska Sobota 18% (updated )
Olimpija Ljubljana is the prediction-market favourite at 58% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-10 15:20 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 52% of 1647 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-10 15:20 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Olimpija Ljubljana 58% · Draw 26% · Mura Murska Sobota 18%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Olimpija Ljubljana, last 5: L W W D W. Mura Murska Sobota, last 5: D L D L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-10 15:20 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-20 | vs Bravo Ljubljana | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs FC Koper | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs NK Brinje Grosuplje | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs NK Radomlje | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Nafta 1903 Lendava | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs NK Celje | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Aluminij Kidricevo | 1:6 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs NK Maribor | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Bravo Ljubljana | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | vs FC Koper | 0:1 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | doador Polymarket | Olimpija Ljubljana to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | doador Polymarket | Mura Murska Sobota to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Olimpija Ljubljana to win | Pending |