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Bundesliga ·
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 prediction for 17 Oct 2026, 21:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: FC Schalke 04 30%, the draw 26%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 42% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: FC Schalke 04 30% · Draw 26% · 1. FSV Mainz 05 42% (updated )
1. FSV Mainz 05 is the prediction-market favourite at 42% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-15 17:05 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1530 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-15 17:05 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: FC Schalke 04 30% · Draw 26% · 1. FSV Mainz 05 42%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
FC Schalke 04, last 5: L D D W W. 1. FSV Mainz 05, last 5: L W L W D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-15 17:05 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-11 | vs Sport-Club Freiburg | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Elversberg | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs SV 07 Elversberg | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Union Berlin | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3:4 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Hamburger SV | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs SC Paderborn 07 | 0:0 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Probably-Likely Polymarket | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Flaznorp Polymarket | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Pending |