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Bundesliga ·
1. FC Union Berlin vs BV Borussia 09 Dortmund prediction for 17 Oct 2026, 21:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: 1. FC Union Berlin 21%, the draw 20%, BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 60% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: 1. FC Union Berlin 21% · Draw 20% · BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 60% (updated )
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund is the prediction-market favourite at 60% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-09 05:01 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1775 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 05:01 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: 1. FC Union Berlin 21% · Draw 20% · BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 60%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
1. FC Union Berlin, last 5: L L L D W. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, last 5: W W W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 05:01 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-09-19 | vs FC Bayern München | 0:7 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs FC Schalke 04 | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Eintracht Braunschweig | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs VfB Stuttgart | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Villarreal CF | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-02 | vs Hamburg-Eimsbütteler BC | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Hamburger SV | 2:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Flaznorp Polymarket | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Pending |