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Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 SGT (Premier League). Prediction-market win probability: Newcastle United FC 46%, the draw 26%, Aston Villa FC 30% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Newcastle United FC 46% · Draw 26% · Aston Villa FC 30% (updated )
Newcastle United FC is the prediction-market favourite at 46% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-12 16:52 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 42% of 1799 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-12 16:52 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Newcastle United FC 46% · Draw 26% · Aston Villa FC 30%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Newcastle United FC, last 5: W L W D W. Aston Villa FC, last 5: D W W L W. Head-to-head, last 3 meetings (Newcastle United FC wins – draws – Aston Villa FC wins): 1-1-1; latest 2026-02-15: Aston Villa FC 1:3 Newcastle United FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-12 16:52 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-19 | vs Hull City AFC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Leeds United FC | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Millwall FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Tottenham Hotspur FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Brentford FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Tottenham | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Coventry City FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Nottingham Forest FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-08 | vs Club Brugge | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-02-15 | Aston Villa FC | 1:3 | Newcastle United FC |
| 2026-01-25 | Newcastle United FC | 0:2 | Aston Villa FC |
| 2025-08-16 | Aston Villa FC | 0:0 | Newcastle United FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Newcastle United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Newcastle United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Newcastle United FC to win | Pending |