Liga MX ·
Atlas FC vs CD Guadalajara Chivas prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 09:00 SGT (Liga MX): 6 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 60% backing CD Guadalajara Chivas to win. Prediction-market win probability: Atlas FC 30%, the draw 27%, CD Guadalajara Chivas 45% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Atlas FC 30% · Draw 27% · CD Guadalajara Chivas 45% (updated )
CD Guadalajara Chivas is the prediction-market favourite at 45% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-08 07:20 UTC+8). Of 5 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (60%) back CD Guadalajara Chivas to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1581 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-08 07:20 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Atlas FC 30% · Draw 27% · CD Guadalajara Chivas 45%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
6 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Atlas FC 2 (40%) · Draw 0 (0%) · CD Guadalajara Chivas 3 (60%).
Atlas FC, last 5: W D L D L. CD Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: L D W W D. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Atlas FC wins – draws – CD Guadalajara Chivas wins): 0-0-2; latest 2026-03-08: Atlas FC 1:2 CD Guadalajara.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-08 07:20 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
6 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Atlas FC to win 2 (40%) · the draw 0 (0%) · CD Guadalajara Chivas to win 3 (60%).
| 2026-09-26 | vs Club Tijuana | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Pumas de la UNAM | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Deportivo Toluca FC | 2:5 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Atlante FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Querétaro FC | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Querétaro FC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CF América | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Pumas de la UNAM | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Atlético San Luis | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs CF Pachuca | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-03-08 | Atlas FC | 1:2 | CD Guadalajara |
| 2025-10-26 | CD Guadalajara | 4:1 | Atlas FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | EkoCam Polymarket | CD Guadalajara to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Lexington Polymarket | CD Guadalajara to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | detailed.spaniel4309 Kalshi | Atlas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | nigiri99 Polymarket | CD Guadalajara to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Gaditima Polymarket | CD Guadalajara to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | injured.duck2672 Kalshi | Atlas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | clis41 Kalshi | Atlas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | cal.vin Kalshi | Guadalajara wins | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | injured.duck2672 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | injured.duck2672 Kalshi | Guadalajara wins | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | clis41 Kalshi | Guadalajara wins | Pending |