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Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 19:30 SGT (Bundesliga 2). Prediction-market win probability: Hertha BSC 62%, the draw 21%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 20% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Hertha BSC 62% · Draw 21% · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 20% (updated )
Hertha BSC is the prediction-market favourite at 62% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 00:50 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1757 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 00:50 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Hertha BSC 62% · Draw 21% · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 20%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Hertha BSC, last 5: W W W W D. SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: D D L W L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Hertha BSC wins – draws – SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins): 1-1-0; latest 2026-05-10: Hertha BSC 2:1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 00:50 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-20 | vs SG Dynamo Dresden | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs VfL Osnabrück | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs 1. FC Magdeburg | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Eintracht Braunschweig | 5:3 | W |
| 2026-08-22 | vs 1. FC Saarbrücken | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-18 | vs 1. FC Magdeburg | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs VfL Bochum | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs FC Energie Cottbus | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | vs VfL Bochum | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-05-10 | Hertha BSC | 2:1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2025-12-13 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 3:3 | Hertha BSC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | deboonker Polymarket | Hertha BSC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | UNEB3154s4f251 Polymarket | SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win | Pending |