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Colombian Liga DIMAYOR ·
Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 09:10 SGT (Colombian Liga DIMAYOR). Prediction-market win probability: Independiente Medellín 48%, the draw 27%, Once Caldas 24% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Independiente Medellín 48% · Draw 27% · Once Caldas 24% (updated )
Independiente Medellín is the prediction-market favourite at 48% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-17 22:27 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1544 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-17 22:27 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Independiente Medellín 48% · Draw 27% · Once Caldas 24%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Independiente Medellín, last 5: W L D L W. Once Caldas, last 5: W D D L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-17 22:27 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-12 | vs America de Cali | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Independiente Santa Fe | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Millonarios | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CDP Junior FC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-23 | vs Jaguares de Córdoba | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Llaneros | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Internacional de Bogota | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Internacional de Bogota | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-26 | vs CA Bucaramanga | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs AD Pasto | 0:1 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | tobako Polymarket | Independiente Medellín to win | Pending |