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Uruguay Primera Division ·
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 07:00 SGT (Uruguay Primera Division). Prediction-market win probability: Deportivo Maldonado 39%, the draw 30%, Liverpool Montevideo 34% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Deportivo Maldonado 39% · Draw 30% · Liverpool Montevideo 34% (updated )
Deportivo Maldonado is the prediction-market favourite at 39% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 21:10 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1566 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 21:10 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Deportivo Maldonado 39% · Draw 30% · Liverpool Montevideo 34%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: W W W L W. Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: W W D L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 21:10 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-04 | vs Central Espanol FC | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Montevideo City Torque | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Cerro Largo FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Defensor Sporting | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Montevideo Wanderers | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs CA Progreso | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Central Espanol FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Racing Club Montevideo | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Montevideo City Torque | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-07 | vs CA Boston River | 1:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | sarkozin73 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Dep Maldonado wins | Pending |