NFL ·
Bills vs Patriots result (26:29) on 5 Oct 2026 (NFL): 344 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 63% backing Bills to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Bills 26:29 Patriots (2026-10-05). Before the result, 63% of 24 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Bills to win — that call was wrong.
344 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Bills 15 (63%) · Patriots 9 (38%).
Bills, last 5: W W W W W. Patriots, last 5: L W L L W. Head-to-head, last 4 meetings (Bills wins – draws – Patriots wins): 2-0-2; latest 2025-12-15: Patriots 31:35 Bills.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-05 04:09 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
344 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Bills to win 15 (63%) · Patriots to win 9 (38%).
| 2026-09-28 | vs Chargers | 24:16 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Lions | 41:31 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Texans | 36:31 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Steelers | 28:27 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Browns | 31:7 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Jaguars | 6:35 | L |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Steelers | 20:3 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Seahawks | 10:13 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Browns | 13:37 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Eagles | 24:21 | W |
| 2025-12-15 | Patriots | 31:35 | Bills |
| 2025-10-06 | Bills | 20:23 | Patriots |
| 2025-01-05 | Patriots | 23:16 | Bills |
| 2024-12-23 | Bills | 24:21 | Patriots |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | farmer112 Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Gigachain1622 Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 60.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 60.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | bshop Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | BRo30 Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 57.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | zaypicks Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | hellonewday Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 54.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Lackvill Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Robertdancce Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 46.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | ccwcc Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | 0xc685…0e9f Polymarket | Bills -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Dogsinapile Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | bshop Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Matma5 Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | wangzhizhidodger Polymarket | Bills -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | mpoly Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | gannonallison Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 49.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | DaBossHogg Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | bshop Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | DaBossHogg Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 55.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | one8tyfive Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 53.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | bshop Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | 1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | 0xfd8f…761d Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | ARTEM-DZYUBA Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5) | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Bills -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Bills -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Kingrichard Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | ValiBB Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -7.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | ValiBB Polymarket | Bills -3.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Bills -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Reformedx Polymarket | Bills -7.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Kingrichard Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | FaroeseNationalist Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | FaroeseNationalist Polymarket | Bills -7.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -8.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Margorucci Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Lost |