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RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 22:15 SGT (La Liga). Prediction-market win probability: RC Celta de Vigo 44%, the draw 29%, Deportivo Alaves 26% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: RC Celta de Vigo 44% · Draw 29% · Deportivo Alaves 26% (updated )
RC Celta de Vigo is the prediction-market favourite at 44% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-16 09:19 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1501 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-16 09:19 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: RC Celta de Vigo 44% · Draw 29% · Deportivo Alaves 26%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
RC Celta de Vigo, last 5: L D W W L. Deportivo Alaves, last 5: L D L L L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (RC Celta de Vigo wins – draws – Deportivo Alaves wins): 1-0-1; latest 2026-03-22: RC Celta de Vigo 3:4 Deportivo Alaves.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-16 09:19 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-16 | vs Juventus FC | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Elche CF | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Real Racing Club | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Racing Santander | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-09-16 | vs AS Omónoia Leukosías | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Atletico Madrid | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Athletic Bilbao | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Valencia | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Racing Santander | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Real Racing Club | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-03-22 | RC Celta de Vigo | 3:4 | Deportivo Alaves |
| 2025-11-22 | Deportivo Alaves | 0:1 | RC Celta de Vigo |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Celta Vigo wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | MoneyCash00 Polymarket | RC Celta de Vigo to win | Pending |