ESL Pro League ·
Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere prediction for 7 Oct 2026, 02:00 SGT (ESL Pro League): 38 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 93% backing Team Falcons to win. Prediction-market win probability: Team Falcons 78%, Natus Vincere 22% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Team Falcons 78% · Natus Vincere 22% (updated )
Team Falcons is the prediction-market favourite at 78% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-07 05:00 UTC+8). Of 28 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 26 (93%) back Team Falcons to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 66% of 1234 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-07 05:00 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Team Falcons 78% · Natus Vincere 22%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
38 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Team Falcons 26 (93%) · Natus Vincere 2 (7%).
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-07 05:00 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
38 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Team Falcons to win 26 (93%) · Natus Vincere to win 2 (7%).
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Petal Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | c.burak Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | c.burak Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Petal Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | c.burak Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Quick-Slippers Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | JustADonk Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | dexter122 Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dsasdaas Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Unaware-Poncho Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | RiftLost Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Quick-Slippers Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | JustADonk Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dexter122 Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dsasdaas Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Unaware-Poncho Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | RiftLost Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | JustADonk Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Quick-Slippers Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Kaleidoscopic-Clue Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | whynotchocolate Polymarket | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Kaleidoscopic-Clue Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | whynotchocolate Polymarket | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | ZinedineZywoo Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | ZinedineZywoo Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | ggna1 Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Quick-Slippers Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dsasdaas Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | JustADonk Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | c.burak Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Kaleidoscopic-Clue Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | JustADonk Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dsasdaas Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dsasdaas Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dsasdaas Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | whynotchocolate Polymarket | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dsasdaas Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | whynotchocolate Polymarket | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | flavetron Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | flavetron Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | flavetron Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | JustADonk Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Denv Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | BarracudaSKE Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Quick-Slippers Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Quick-Slippers Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Quick-Slippers Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | ggna1 Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Denv Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Quick-Slippers Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | legitgame Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | JustADonk Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | JustADonk Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Quick-Slippers Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | Petal Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | LudikBogdan Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | JustADonk Polymarket | Map 1 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | benjamin0069 Polymarket | Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dexter122 Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | dsasdaas Polymarket | Map 2 · Team Falcons to win | Pending |
| 2026-06-15 | Natus Vincere | 1:2 | Team Falcons |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Aurora Gaming | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs TYLOO | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Team Spirit | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-04 | vs G2 | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | vs MOUZ | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-04 | vs G2 | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs MOUZ | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Aurora Gaming | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | vs G2 | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | vs paiN | 2:0 | W |