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Uruguay Primera Division ·
Defensor Sporting vs CA Cerro prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 SGT (Uruguay Primera Division). Prediction-market win probability: Defensor Sporting 54%, the draw 27%, CA Cerro 21% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Defensor Sporting 54% · Draw 27% · CA Cerro 21% (updated )
Defensor Sporting is the prediction-market favourite at 54% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 11:01 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1624 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 11:01 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Defensor Sporting 54% · Draw 27% · CA Cerro 21%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Defensor Sporting, last 5: L W L W D. CA Cerro, last 5: L D L W W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Defensor Sporting wins – draws – CA Cerro wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-08-04: Defensor Sporting 2:1 CA Cerro.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 11:01 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-04 | vs Albion FC | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Danubio FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Club Nacional de Football | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Deportivo Maldonado | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Central Espanol FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Montevideo Wanderers | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs CA Juventud de Las Piedras | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CA Penarol Montevideo | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CA Progreso | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Racing Club Montevideo | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-08-04 | Defensor Sporting | 2:1 | CA Cerro |
| 2026-07-26 | Defensor Sporting | 2:1 | CA Cerro |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | WatchTheTape Polymarket | Defensor Sporting to win | Pending |