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Las Vegas Raiders vs Buffalo Bills prediction for 19 Oct 2026, 04:25 SGT (NFL). Prediction-market win probability: Las Vegas Raiders 31%, Buffalo Bills 71% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Las Vegas Raiders 31% · Buffalo Bills 71% (updated )
Buffalo Bills is the prediction-market favourite at 71% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-12 16:46 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 59% of 1994 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-12 16:46 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Las Vegas Raiders 31% · Buffalo Bills 71%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Las Vegas Raiders, last 5: L L W W W. Buffalo Bills, last 5: L W W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-12 16:46 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-12 | vs New England Patriots | 17:45 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 27:30 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs New Orleans Saints | 35:27 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 26:14 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Miami Dolphins | 27:13 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | vs New England Patriots | 26:29 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 24:16 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Detroit Lions | 41:31 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Houston Texans | 36:31 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 28:27 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | stiiizy.crim1 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | Josh.Bushie.Allen Kalshi | Buffalo wins | Pending |