LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026 · MLB Postseason
La Liga ·
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 SGT (La Liga): 162 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 47% backing Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win. Prediction-market win probability: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 28%, the draw 32%, Athletic Bilbao 40% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 28% · Draw 32% · Athletic Bilbao 40% (updated )
Athletic Bilbao is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-11 00:59 UTC+8). Of 43 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 20 (47%) back Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1528 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-11 00:59 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 28% · Draw 32% · Athletic Bilbao 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
162 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 20 (47%) · Draw 5 (12%) · Athletic Bilbao 18 (42%).
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, last 5: D W L W L. Athletic Bilbao, last 5: W D D D W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins – draws – Athletic Bilbao wins): 0-1-1; latest 2026-02-28: Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Athletic Bilbao.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-15 12:02 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
162 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win 20 (47%) · the draw 5 (12%) · Athletic Bilbao to win 18 (42%).
| 2026-09-19 | vs Osasuna | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Espanyol | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Real Madrid | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Racing Santander | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-01 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:5 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Deportivo Alaves | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Levante | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Elche CF | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-02-28 | Rayo Vallecano | 1:1 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 2025-08-26 | Athletic Bilbao | 1:0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | sbsigner Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | sbsigner Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Cupseyy Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Cupseyy Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | sbsigner Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | sbsigner Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Itchy-Organisation Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Itchy-Organisation Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | clis41 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | clis41 Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | steep.starfish6806 Kalshi | Vallecano wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Blacksmith609 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | clis41 Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | keegooz Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | juanmateo Kalshi | Vallecano wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | clis41 Kalshi | Vallecano wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 8.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 7.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 8.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | MoneyCash00 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Won |