AFCON ·
South Africa vs Kenya prediction for 14 Nov 2026, 00:00 SGT (AFCON). Prediction-market win probability: South Africa 77%, the draw 16%, Kenya 5% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: South Africa 77% · Draw 16% · Kenya 5% (updated )
South Africa is the prediction-market favourite at 77% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-13 20:25 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 87% of 2446 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-13 20:25 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: South Africa 77% · Draw 16% · Kenya 5%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
South Africa, last 5: W W W L W. Kenya, last 5: D L D W D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-13 20:25 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-05 | vs Egypt | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Eritrea | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Guinea | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-06-29 | vs Canada | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-06-25 | vs Korea Republic | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Rwanda | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-01 | vs Guinea | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Eritrea | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-06-07 | vs Lesotho | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-06-04 | vs Lesotho | 1:1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | blacksultan21 Kalshi | South Africa wins | Pending |