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Ireland W vs Kazakhstan W prediction for 14 Oct 2026, 02:30 SGT (FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women). Prediction-market win probability: Ireland W 96%, the draw 6%, Kazakhstan W 2% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Ireland W 96% · Draw 6% · Kazakhstan W 2% (updated )
Ireland W is the prediction-market favourite at 96% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-12 16:38 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 67% of 1465 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-12 16:38 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Ireland W 96% · Draw 6% · Kazakhstan W 2%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Ireland W, last 5: W L W W L. Kazakhstan W, last 4: L D L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-12 16:38 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-09 | vs Kazakhstan W | 8:0 | W |
| 2026-06-10 | vs France W | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-06-06 | vs Netherlands W | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-04-14 | vs Poland W | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-03-04 | vs France W | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-09 | vs Ireland W | 0:8 | L |
| 2026-06-06 | vs Armenia W | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-03-07 | vs Belarus W | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-03-03 | vs Armenia W | 3:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | clis41 Kalshi | Reg Time: Ireland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | macrosteaks Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | clis41 Kalshi | Ireland To Advance | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | chaeri Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | IloveSt0rm Polymarket | Kazakhstan to win | Pending |