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Lakers vs Warriors prediction for 14 Oct 2026, 10:00 SGT (NBA). Prediction-market win probability: Lakers 58%, Warriors 43% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Lakers 58% · Warriors 43% (updated )
Lakers is the prediction-market favourite at 58% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-13 16:56 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 52% of 1715 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-13 16:56 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Lakers 58% · Warriors 43%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Lakers, last 5: W L W L L. Warriors, last 5: W L W L L. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Lakers wins – draws – Warriors wins): 3-0-2; latest 2026-10-07: Warriors 124:98 Lakers.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-13 16:56 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-09 | vs Kings | 114:110 | W |
| 2026-10-07 | vs Warriors | 98:124 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Kings | 127:103 | W |
| 2026-05-12 | vs Thunder | 110:115 | L |
| 2026-05-10 | vs Thunder | 108:131 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Kings | 111:106 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | vs Trail Blazers | 118:123 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | vs Lakers | 124:98 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Clippers | 101:104 | L |
| 2026-04-18 | vs Suns | 96:111 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | Warriors | 124:98 | Lakers |
| 2026-04-10 | Warriors | 103:119 | Lakers |
| 2026-03-01 | Warriors | 101:129 | Lakers |
| 2026-02-08 | Lakers | 105:99 | Warriors |
| 2025-10-22 | Lakers | 109:119 | Warriors |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | beachboy27 Kalshi | Los Angeles L wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | omarsf420 Kalshi | Golden State wins | Pending |