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AC Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm SK prediction for 16 Oct 2026, 00:45 SGT (Europa League). Prediction-market win probability: AC Sparta Praha 71%, the draw 19%, Lillestrøm SK 12% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: AC Sparta Praha 71% · Draw 19% · Lillestrøm SK 12% (updated )
AC Sparta Praha is the prediction-market favourite at 71% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-12 19:20 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 59% of 1993 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-12 19:20 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: AC Sparta Praha 71% · Draw 19% · Lillestrøm SK 12%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
AC Sparta Praha, last 5: W L W L L. Lillestrøm SK, last 5: D L L W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-12 19:20 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-16 | vs Ararat-Armenia FA | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-08-12 | vs Olympique Lyonnais | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-08-05 | vs Olympique Lyonnais | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-03-20 | vs AZ | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-03-13 | vs AZ | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | vs Molde FK | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Viking FK | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-18 | vs SC União Torreense | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Vålerenga Fotball | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs SK Brann | 2:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Lillestrøm SK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Lillestrøm SK to win | Pending |