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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Celtic FC prediction for 16 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (Europa League). Prediction-market win probability: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 78%, the draw 15%, Celtic FC 10% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 78% · Draw 15% · Celtic FC 10% (updated )
Sport Lisboa e Benfica is the prediction-market favourite at 78% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-11 06:25 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 66% of 1420 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-11 06:25 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 78% · Draw 15% · Celtic FC 10%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Sport Lisboa e Benfica, last 5: L W W W W. Celtic FC, last 5: L L W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-11 06:25 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-21 | vs FC Porto | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs AC Milan | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Gil Vicente FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Moreirense FC | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs CS Marítimo | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Rangers FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Ferencvárosi TC | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-10 | vs St Johnstone FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs St Mirren FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Aberdeen FC | 3:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | maximum.corgi0006 Kalshi | SL Benfica wins | Pending |