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AFC Bournemouth vs SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz prediction for 16 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (Europa League). Prediction-market win probability: AFC Bournemouth 83%, the draw 13%, SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 7% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: AFC Bournemouth 83% · Draw 13% · SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 7% (updated )
AFC Bournemouth is the prediction-market favourite at 83% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-11 23:35 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 66% of 1445 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-11 23:35 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: AFC Bournemouth 83% · Draw 13% · SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 7%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
AFC Bournemouth, last 5: L L W D W. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, last 5: D W L L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-11 23:35 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-10 | vs Chelsea FC | 1:5 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Liverpool FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Brentford FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Lincoln City FC | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs ASK Voitsberg | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-08-12 | vs Fenerbahçe SK | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-08-06 | vs Fenerbahçe SK | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-07-29 | vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 2:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Iqosnxjdk Polymarket | AFC Bournemouth to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | AFC Bournemouth to win | Pending |