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Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao prediction for 18 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (La Liga). Prediction-market win probability: Valencia CF 28%, the draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao 46% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Valencia CF 28% · Draw 29% · Athletic Bilbao 46% (updated )
Athletic Bilbao is the prediction-market favourite at 46% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-13 05:50 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1648 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-13 05:50 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Valencia CF 28% · Draw 29% · Athletic Bilbao 46%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Valencia CF, last 5: D L W L L. Athletic Bilbao, last 5: D D D W W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Valencia CF wins – draws – Athletic Bilbao wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-05-10: Athletic Bilbao 0:1 Valencia CF.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-13 05:50 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-12 | vs Real Racing Club | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Deportivo Alavés | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Sevilla | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs FC Barcelona | 0:5 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Deportivo Alavés | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Levante UD | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Elche CF | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | vs RC Celta de Vigo | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-05-10 | Athletic Bilbao | 0:1 | Valencia CF |
| 2025-09-21 | Valencia CF | 2:0 | Athletic Bilbao |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | dersh.gersh Kalshi | Valencia wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | dersh.gersh Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |